Dubious Quality

When you tell a country you "might" bomb their nuclear sites after a two week period of "reflection," it's not like they're going to be sitting around on Day 12 going, "No need to do anything yet. We still have two days left."

Plus, the sabers have already been rattling for weeks.

Whatever enriched uranium was stored at those sites is gone. It's been gone. 

The purpose of the bombing was to state "enriched uranium" and "within weeks of a nuclear weapon" (no one actually thinks that) as a pretext to continue bombing if the stockpiles weren't destroyed.

Which they weren't, of course (Vance has already told the WSJ they weren't, which is entirely predictable). This gives the U.S. the green light to continue bombing. 

The actual goal here (again, which is so transparent) is regime change. And it may work, at least in terms of forcing a change in leadership. The problem is that historically when a superpower forces a regime change in the Middle East (or Africa in general), the results are unpredictable and often disastrous.

So the bombing isn't a one-off. It's an opening salvo.

All Iran has to do is look at Ukraine, who voluntarily stopped their nuclear program in exchange for security guarantees, which have proved entirely worthless. If anything, this demonstrates their need for nuclear weapons more clearly than ever before.

In sum, it's not good.